Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)
0.8 pts (24h)PolíticaElecciónPolítica de EE. UU.2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOther 60.7%+0.8ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+2.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado2 sept 25, 22:37 UTC5 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? [limited responses for less lag]
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Manifold MarketsWho will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
Manifold MarketsWill Ron DeSantis be elected President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurReglas
Do we really need another market for this topic? Maybe! Multiple choice questions with lots of answers are awkward; this one will aim to have few answers rather than being all-inclusive.
- These seem to be the major other markets for this question:
- @/Tetraspace/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20
- @/goldenes56/who-will-be-elected-president-in-th-6ecda2cc8128@/ManifoldPolitics/who-will-win-the-2028-united-states-a84qq6ejnj
- @/predyx_markets/who-will-be-the-us-presidential-ele-fb4966f81a9a
- If any option (including other) is trading in the top 3, or >20%, in either of those markets for at least 48 hours, I'll add it to this one (please feel encouraged to point out if this is happening!).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 81%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 27%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- También disponible en Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 19%
- También disponible en Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
