Pronóstico comunitario actual
OpenAI 96.4%+58.1ptLíder entre 13 opciones
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+46.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
5 sept 26, 19:12 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Navier-Stokes problem be solved before 2028?
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- What counts as "solved":
- It doesn't have to be formally accepted by the Clay institute, but it should be generally accepted as clearly correct in essence
- A lean proof is not required
- Minor proof errors are accepted, as long as they don't interfere with the consensus belief that the proof is essentially correct
- If a proof is released before 2028 and it is ambiguous whether it meets this criteria, I may wait arbitrarily until the consensus becomes clear to resolve.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- 325 mil €
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
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- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de [Add answers] Who or what will first solve Navier-Stokes before 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza OpenAI al 96% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve [Add answers] Who or what will first solve Navier-Stokes before 2028??
- Está previsto que [Add answers] Who or what will first solve Navier-Stokes before 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida [Add answers] Who or what will first solve Navier-Stokes before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria