Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 9:10 UTC · política pm-quality-4
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OpenAI 96.7%Líder entre 13 opciones
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16
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Cambio 7d
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Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado5 sept 26, 19:12 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Which Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes)
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Manifold MarketsWill Navier-Stokes be solved with the help of Google or Alphabet scientists by the end of 2027?
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PolymarketOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- What counts as "solved":
- It doesn't have to be formally accepted by the Clay institute, but it should be generally accepted as clearly correct in essence
- A lean proof is not required
- Minor proof errors are accepted, as long as they don't interfere with the consensus belief that the proof is essentially correct
- If a proof is released before 2028 and it is ambiguous whether it meets this criteria, I may wait arbitrarily until the consensus becomes clear to resolve.
