Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualChuck Grassley 74%Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
40
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado26 ago 24, 15:23 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
Feel free to add anyone who’s in power, or current running for one of the positions listed below.
- Each answer will Resolve YES if the person died in an eligible position of power, and NO if they aren’t in office at the time of their death.
- Eligible seats of power:
- US Congress-person (not state congress)
- State Governor
- President, VP, or Cabinet Member (see full list)
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.0pt61%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-4.0pt38%
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+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 133,1 M €
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- 712,4 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.7pt91%
- Republican Party-0.4pt9%
- Volumen total
- 29,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 687,1 mil €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 194,1 M €
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KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-8.0pt54%
- Nithya Raman+9.0pt46%
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KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt62.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt28.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.5pt8.2%
+1 resultados más
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.7pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-1.9pt13%
+48 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Chuck Grassley al 74% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀?
- Está previsto que Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which US politicians will die in office? 🇺🇸🗳️💀?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Feel free to add anyone who’s in power, or current running for one of the positions listed below.