Which party will win the popular vote in Texas in the 2028 presidential election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualRepublican Party 68.1%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-20.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado6 nov 26, 0:57 UTC8 nov 28, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket with the most votes in Texas in the November 7, 2028 election, per Texas's certified result.
- Only the vote count matters: how Texas awards its electoral votes, including under a national popular vote compact, doesn't.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called it and no recount could change it.
- N/A if Texas holds no popular vote for President.