Which party will win the house in 2026 midterms
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 202622dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualDemocratic Party 88.7%
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+38.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado7 oct 26, 18:51 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on which political party wins majority control of the United States House of Representatives in the midterm elections held on November 3, 2026.
- An option (e.g., "the named outcome" or "the named outcome") will resolve to YES if that party wins at least 218 voting seats out of the 435 up for election.
- All other options will resolve to NO.
- No Clear Majority / Tie-Breaker: If no single party wins 218 seats (for instance, due to independent or third-party representatives), the market will resolve to YES for the party that successfully organizes the House and elects its nominee as the Speaker of the House for the 120th Congress in January 2027.
- Source of Truth: The market will resolve using the official election results published by the Clerk of the United States House of Representatives, or consensus calls by major national election decision desks (e.g., Associated Press, Decision Desk HQ) once the outcome is mathematically settled.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en PredictIt — Which party will win the House in the 2026 election? · Democratic 90%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 90%
- También disponible en Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 91%
- También disponible en Kalshi — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 90%
