PredictItComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución no verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Probabilidad implícita actual
Democratic 90%
Democratic 90%Metodología
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo de pregunta
-
Volumen 24h
2 mil €
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
15 jul 25, 13:47 UTC21 ene 28, 5:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which party will win the U.S. House?
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KalshiReglas
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the political party whose candidates are elected in a majority of districts in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 general election.
- A candidate shall be considered to be associated with a political party if such candidate is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party.
For purposes of resolving this market, delegates and resident Commissioners who are members of the House shall not be considered.
In the event that no party wins a majority of seats, all contracts shall resolve to No.
PredictIt reserves the right to wait for further official, party, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. - Markets may stay open or incur a delay in settlement well past the date of the contest in certain circumstances.
- If there is any change to an event, or any situation arises, that is not in PredictIt’s view addressed adequately by the market rules, PredictIt will decide the fairest and most appropriate course of action
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
4 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Democratic Party es del 90%. La dispersión entre plataformas es de unos 1 punto porcentual.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic Party 90% · 4 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Polymarket — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 90%
- También disponible en Gemini — Which party will win the U.S. House? · Democratic Party 89%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Which party will win the house in 2026 midterms · Democratic Party 89%
- También disponible en Limitless — Which party will win the House in 2026? · Democratic Party 91%
- — Which party will win the U.S. House?
