Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualDemocratic Party 66.8%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+17.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado6 nov 26, 0:20 UTC8 nov 28, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiMongolian Democratic Party presidential nomination winner?
KalshiReglas
Resolves to the party of the person elected President in the November 7, 2028 election, however the winner is officially decided.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- N/A if no presidential election is held for the term starting January 20, 2029.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en ForecastEx — Will a Democrat win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · Yes 58%
- También disponible en Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 68%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 68%
- También disponible en Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 68%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?