Which of these parties will be in the next Israeli governing coalition?
21.5 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaOriente MedioAjedrezElecciónDeportes3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 29 oct 2026, 18:12 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualLikud 71.5%+21.5ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+21.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado29 oct 26, 0:08 UTC31 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on which of the listed parties are members of the next officially sworn-in Israeli government (the 38th government of Israel) following the 26th Knesset elections.
- Each option resolves independently:
- YES: The party is a formal signatory to the coalition agreement and officially part of the governing coalition when the new government passes its Knesset vote of confidence and is sworn into office.
- NO: The party is in the opposition or is not a formal member of the coalition at the time the government is sworn in.
- Providing outside support (confidence and supply) without being a formal member of the governing coalition does not count.
