Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSolve a P3/6 in TST, RMM Day 1, or USAMO 91.7%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+13.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 42 minutos
29 jul 26, 19:54 UTC1 dic 26, 0:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which of the following will I achieve?
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ForecastExReglas
I am part of the USA team selection test cycle for the 68th IMO.
- The relevant contests for this market are TST Day 1, TST Day 2, RMM Day 1, APMO, USAMO Day 1, and USAMO Day 2.
- Here are some past contest results:
- JMO 2026 (first time making any olympiad): 627 677
- TSTST 2026: 700 007 700
- Getting swept means scoring a 0, 1, or 2 on every problem.
Mercados abiertos
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+0.9pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-21.9pt48%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 230,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 77,1 mil €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt12%
- Before 2027+0.1pt5%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 28,6 M €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 314%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 109,5 mil €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt48%
- Above 1-2.0pt18%
- Above 2-6.0pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,9 mil €
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Solve a P3/6 in TST, RMM Day 1, or USAMO al 92% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle??
- Está previsto que Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle? se resuelva el 1 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I am part of the USA team selection test cycle for the 68th IMO.