Which nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029?
PolíticaIAGeopolítica2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualIran 100%Líder entre 12 opciones
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado5 ene 26, 4:17 UTC19 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Market Description
- This market resolves based on whether the US conducts military operations in the listed countries between now and January 20th, 2029.
- The question was created following the January 3, 2026 US military operation in Venezuela that resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro.
- For Venezuela specifically, only additional military operations beyond the January 2026 operation count toward resolution.
- This market focuses on significant new military interventions rather than routine expansions of existing commitments.
- The intent is to capture unprecedented, possibly unilateral action by the US, not proxy operations conducted through local forces.
