Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
TecnologíaCiencia3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 14:18 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualIBM 26.5%Líder entre 10 opciones
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0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 25, 8:58 UTC1 ene 30, 0:00 UTC
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KalshiReglas
This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029.
- A "significant breakthrough" is defined as: 1.
- Development of a quantum computer with >1000 logical qubits, OR 2.
- First demonstration of quantum advantage for a commercially relevant problem, OR 3.
- Development of a quantum-resistant cryptography standard that becomes widely adopted.
- The breakthrough must be publicly announced and independently verified by at least two academic institutions.
