Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualIBM 26.5%Líder entre 10 opciones
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6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 25, 8:58 UTC1 ene 30, 0:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029.
- A "significant breakthrough" is defined as: 1.
- Development of a quantum computer with >1000 logical qubits, OR 2.
- First demonstration of quantum advantage for a commercially relevant problem, OR 3.
- Development of a quantum-resistant cryptography standard that becomes widely adopted.
- The breakthrough must be publicly announced and independently verified by at least two academic institutions.
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza IBM al 27% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030??
- Está previsto que Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market predicts which major technology company will achieve the most significant breakthrough in quantum computing by December 31, 2029.