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  3. Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]
Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

Which engineering breakthroughs will achieve widespread commercial and societal integration by 2050? [add responses]

RegulaciónIA24a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Commercial fusion power
Commercial fusion power 39.6%
Líder entre 88 opciones
Pronosticadores

274

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 días

Desactualizado
12 jun 24, 13:391 dic 50, 20:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Commercial fusion power40%

Reglas

Resolves YES for any number of technologies that are widespread enough in 2049 but not in 2024.

Manifold Markets
  • Resolution criteria:
  • Significant Adoption: The technology must be adopted to a degree that indicates it has moved beyond the experimental or niche phase.
  • Operational Efficiency: The technology should demonstrate reliable and efficient operation in real-world conditions.
  • Regulatory Approval: If applicable, the technology must receive approval from relevant regulatory bodies.
  • Economic Viability: The technology should be commercially viable, with clear economic benefits.

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Reglas

Resolves YES for any number of technologies that are widespread enough in 2049 but not in 2024.

Manifold Markets
  • Resolution criteria:
  • Significant Adoption: The technology must be adopted to a degree that indicates it has moved beyond the experimental or niche phase.
  • Operational Efficiency: The technology should demonstrate reliable and efficient operation in real-world conditions.
  • Regulatory Approval: If applicable, the technology must receive approval from relevant regulatory bodies.
  • Economic Viability: The technology should be commercially viable, with clear economic benefits.