KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 91%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
375,8 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
12 ago 26, 0:46 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
If legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains.
- Legislation qualifies if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, whether through a rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, a change in applicable thresholds, a change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism.
- Changes that only defer when tax is paid, or that reduce a taxpayer’s overall federal tax liability without specifically changing the taxation or calculation of long-term capital gains, do not qualify.
- A qualifying change may be temporary and need not take effect before the specified deadline, provided the legislation becomes law within the specified time period.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
Regulation
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 12,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 90,5 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4,8 M €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 877 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 mil €
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 91% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will federal capital gains taxes be cut in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.