PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 87%+1.0pt
Calidad del mercado
47 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
204,2 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
11.0% / 15.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-10.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
12 ago 26, 14:39 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump eliminate capital gains taxes on crypto?
KalshiWill long-term capital gains tax rate (federal) be increased in the US by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
Polymarket🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027? (USA)
Manifold MarketsFirst year Netherlands taxes unrealized capital gains
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying change does not need to apply to all taxpayers or all long-term capital gains.
- Legislation will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" if it directly reduces or eliminates federal tax owed on long-term capital gains for individuals generally or for a defined class of taxpayers or gains, including through a tax rate reduction, exemption or exclusion, change in applicable thresholds, change in how basis or gains are calculated, or another statutory mechanism.
- The qualifying change can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
- Temporary reductions or breaks will count.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Volumen total
- 605,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 714,8 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-2.0pt13%
+17 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 295,4 mil €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 resultados más
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026??
- Está previsto que Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal taxes individuals owe on long-term capital gains by changing how those gains are taxed or calculated is enacted into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.