Which of these countries will have regions declare and gain recognised independence by the end of 2100?
Rusia / UcraniaOne-OffChinaManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 19:26 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualRussian Federation 44.3%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado23 sept 23, 10:15 UTC31 dic 00, 21:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve at the end of 2100 based on available data and verifiable sources when the following conditions are set for a country:
- A distinct region within the country must declare and gain its independence.
- At least one other sovereign nation must officially recognize the independence of this region.
- The declaration and recognition must occur before the end of 2100.
- Market for 2030: https://manifold.markets/FlorinSays/which-countries-will-have-regions-d
- Market for 2100: https://manifold.markets/FlorinSays/which-countries-will-have-regions-d-8684478bf61d
