Which company's model will be #1 on Artificial Analysis at the end of September 2026
One-OffIATecnologíaManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Anthropic (89.9%)
Resuelto: 1 oct 2026, 16:25
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Anthropic
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 oct 2026, 17:55 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
OpenAI6.4%
Anthropic89.9%
Google0.5%
Meta0.9%
Moonshot0.5%
xAI (e.g., Grok)0.5%
Z.ai0.4%
DeepSeek0.4%
Other0.4%
Ganada
Perdida
Perdida
Perdida
Perdida
Perdida
Perdida
Perdida
Perdida
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the company that developed the #1 ranked model on the official Artificial Analysis LLM Leaderboard as of September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Primary Source: The Artificial Analysis LLM Leaderboard.
- Ranking Metric: The ranking will be determined by the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (e.g., v4.1.1 or any updated version active at the time of resolution).
- Tie-breaker: In the event that multiple models from different companies share the exact same top Intelligence Index score, the model displayed higher on the leaderboard UI will be deemed the winner.
- If no UI ordering distinguishes them, the market will resolve to a split among the tied companies.