Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOpenAI 73.4%+37.7ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+37.4 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
23 oct 25, 11:56 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves to the first lab to release a solution which is subsequently verified to a previously-unsolved Clay Institute Millennium Prize problem.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
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- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 resultados más
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- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
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- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
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- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
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- 322,4 mil €
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- 1480+-1.0pt66%
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- 1500+-1.0pt30%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem??
- Manifold Markets cotiza OpenAI al 73% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem??
- Está previsto que Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to the first lab to release a solution which is subsequently verified to a previously-unsolved Clay Institute Millennium Prize problem.