Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?
15.8 pts (24h)US Politics1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualTucker Carlson 96.9%+15.8ptLíder entre 21 opciones
Pronosticadores
107
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+15.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
10 nov 24, 7:17 UTC4 nov 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Simple disagreement is not enough to resolve YES - it has to be big enough of a split that one could call them a "trump critic." If I see any of them identified as "trump critic," or otherwise splitting from team Trump in a significant way, that'd be enough to resolve YES.
- Getting fired and then going on CNN to dish out some juicy dirt would also be enough, for example.
- Basically - who's gonna burn some friendships?
- Please do not submit anyone who can already be characterized as a "trump critic," or who has already split from Trump's team due to criticism.
- This market's resolution is subjective, so I will not bet on this market.
- In the case that I am unable to resolve this market, I leave it in the hands of any moderator without any shares on this market.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Tucker Carlson al 97% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms??
- Está previsto que Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms? se resuelva el 4 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Simple disagreement is not enough to resolve YES - it has to be big enough of a split that one could call them a "trump critic." If I see any of them identified as "trump critic," or otherwise splitting from team Trump in a significant way, that'd be enough to resolve YES.