When will the first RISUG procedure become commercially available?
RegulaciónOne-OffHealth & Medicine4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2035 or later 55.2%Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado30 jun 25, 13:25 UTC30 dic 30, 14:21 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the first year in which the Reversible Inhibition of Sperm Under Guidance (RISUG) procedure becomes commercially available to the general public. "Commercially available" is defined as the procedure being offered by licensed medical practitioners outside of clinical trial settings, with necessary regulatory approvals in place.
- The resolution will be based on official announcements from regulatory bodies or reputable medical institutions confirming the availability of RISUG for public use.
- RISUG is a non-hormonal male contraceptive developed in India, involving an injection into the vas deferens to block sperm transport.
- Clinical trials have demonstrated its efficacy and safety, with a reported 97% success rate in preventing pregnancy.
- As of 2023, RISUG has completed Phase III clinical trials in India and is awaiting regulatory approval from the Drug Controller General of India (DCGI).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will the first RISUG procedure become commercially available??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2035 or later al 55% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will the first RISUG procedure become commercially available??
- Está previsto que When will the first RISUG procedure become commercially available? se resuelva el 30 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will the first RISUG procedure become commercially available??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria