Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: May-August 2026 (34.1%)
Resuelto: 14 ago 2026, 21:13
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualMay-August 2026 34.1%+65.9ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+65.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 días
Desactualizado22 ago 25, 20:1814 ago 26, 21:13
Tendencias
34.1%
25%
22.5%
11.9%
3.9%
2.5%
Reglas
Student loan balance: $11,955
- Interest rate: 3.15%
- Minimum payment: $750/month
- If I pay the minimum, the loan will be gone in Dec. 2026.
- My goal is to have it paid off by July 2026.
- I expect to pay the minimum this year and increase to $900-$1000/month in Jan. 2026.
Mercados abiertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-3.0pt67.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt31.7%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 39,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 3,6 M €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt65.3%
- Hike 25bps+4.0pt31.7%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,4 M €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+0.4pt83.5%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.7pt9.7%
- Exactly 2 cuts+0.4pt2.9%
+18 resultados más
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+7.0pt56%
- No-7.0pt44%
- Volumen total
- 6,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 146,8 mil €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt65.6%
- Hike 25bps28.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.4%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 138,6 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0-0.7pt85.9%
- 1 (2510.1%
- 2 (50-0.6pt3%
+10 resultados más
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed Decision in December?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Decision in October?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de When will I pay off my student loan??
- Manifold Markets cotiza May-August 2026 al 34% a fecha de 15 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve When will I pay off my student loan??
- Está previsto que When will I pay off my student loan? se resuelva el 14 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida When will I pay off my student loan??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Student loan balance: $11,955