Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualOther 15%Líder entre 28 opciones
Pronosticadores
94
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-1.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado18 ene 26, 4:47 UTC31 dic 26, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Lucas Beyer (AI Researcher) work at either Anthropic or xAI before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWill the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
KalshiReglas
This market matches Sum of OpenAI, Anthropic, xAI revenues from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.
- See the other manifold questions here
- [image]Resolution criteria
- Resolves to the best estimate of the sum of December 2026 annualized revenues (monthly revenue × 12) of OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI.
- The resolver will primarily rely on publicly reported figures from reliable news sources (e.g., The New York Times, Reuters, The Information, Bloomberg), official company statements, or direct announcements from company CEOs.
- If the most recent reports are from earlier in 2026, the resolver may extrapolate or use projections to estimate December revenue.