Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualsafely returns to Earth 93.9%Líder entre 35 opciones
Pronosticadores
57
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado7 abr 24, 5:06 UTC31 dic 39, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill the next person to walk on the moon be American?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2040?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiReglas
All are at the time of moon walk unless otherwise specified.
- Add your own.
- Should be easily verified (ie nothing like "they love pineapple on pizza").
- Intention is "what will be the properties of Neil Armstrong 2.0".
- In general, all items are taken to be "as publicly known, at the time of the landing".
- So if the astronaut is trans but stealth and this has somehow not come up, it would resolve 'NO' for 'the named outcome'.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above99%
- $74,250 or above99%
- $73,250 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 685,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 680,9 mil €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- 65-89+50.5pt56.4%
- 40-64-6.6pt41.6%
- 90-114+1.6pt2%
+7 resultados más
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No74.1%
- Yes25.9%
- Volumen total
- 303,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 298,8 mil €
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.4pt13.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+0.4pt12%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.7pt12%
+25 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt24.5%
- 200-219+10.0pt24.5%
- 220-239+7.0pt15.7%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $66,000 or above98%
- $67,000 or above98%
- $65,500 or above97%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 452,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 143 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]?
- Manifold Markets cotiza safely returns to Earth al 94% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]?
- Está previsto que What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES] se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2039.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: All are at the time of moon walk unless otherwise specified.