Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualsafely returns to Earth 93.9%Líder entre 35 opciones
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57
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
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Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado7 abr 24, 5:06 UTC31 dic 39, 15:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
All are at the time of moon walk unless otherwise specified.
- Add your own.
- Should be easily verified (ie nothing like "they love pineapple on pizza").
- Intention is "what will be the properties of Neil Armstrong 2.0".
- In general, all items are taken to be "as publicly known, at the time of the landing".
- So if the astronaut is trans but stealth and this has somehow not come up, it would resolve 'NO' for 'the named outcome'.