Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 71%
Pronosticadores
175
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado26 mar 24, 16:52 UTC2 ene 40, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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If there are multiple people in the first mission, any of them getting back to Earth will resolve YES.
- Must still be alive.
- Market open until it happens
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above99%
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- 680,9 mil €
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- 90-114+1.6pt2%
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LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No74.1%
- Yes25.9%
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KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 71% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth??
- Está previsto que Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If there are multiple people in the first mission, any of them getting back to Earth will resolve YES.