Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualSí 71%
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177
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado26 mar 24, 16:52 UTC2 ene 40, 4:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
If there are multiple people in the first mission, any of them getting back to Earth will resolve YES.
- Must still be alive.
- Market open until it happens
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person