Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 56.8%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
31 oct 23, 18:59 UTC31 dic 90, 10:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist?
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars be white?
Manifold MarketsTrump goes to space in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump nationalize SpaceX?
KalshiTrump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?
PolymarketReglas
By which I mean: will he be a citizen of the USA taken to the Moon on an American mission.
Mercados abiertos
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes65.4%
- No34.6%
- Volumen total
- 405,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 161,9 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.1pt97%
- Google-0.5pt2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 62,7 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-5.0pt61%
- Before May 1, 2027-7.0pt46%
- Before Apr 1, 202744%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 946 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic+4.0pt85.3%
- Google-2.1pt6.9%
- OpenAI-3.0pt4.9%
+18 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 867.7%
- Above 9-3.0pt14.5%
- Above 10-5.0pt6.5%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 194,6 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- 0+2.0pt44.1%
- 1+4.5pt27.4%
- 2+2.0pt18.6%
+3 resultados más
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the next person to walk on the moon be American??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 57% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the next person to walk on the moon be American??
- Está previsto que Will the next person to walk on the moon be American? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2090.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the next person to walk on the moon be American??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: By which I mean: will he be a citizen of the USA taken to the Moon on an American mission.