Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualHe will resolves this market for being a CEO of the AGI company, not for being the well recognized AGI creator 89.6%Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
41
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado4 may 24, 2:42 UTC31 dic 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiDeepSeek market share this week
KalshiReglas
If there's a generally accepted person it will resolve according to the characteristics of that person.
- If there's not a generally accepted person but there is a generally accepted company this resolves to the CEO of that company.
- If there is neither a generally accepted person, nor a generally accepted company, these may resolve to prob according to the characteristics of the various candidates.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba+2.0pt69%
- Moonshot-9.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.3pt6%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 75,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 61,5 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.3pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+1.9pt15.5%
- Gemini+0.2pt6.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+2.5pt85.4%
- Moonshot-0.3pt9.7%
- Z.ai-3.4pt1.9%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%98%
- Above 2.55%+18.0pt94%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 61,1 mil €
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+22.0pt43%
- Above 5.6%+2.0pt13%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 resultados más
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- Best AI this week
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be true about the person who creates AGI??
- Manifold Markets cotiza He will resolves this market for being a CEO of the AGI company, not for being the well recognized AGI creator al 90% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be true about the person who creates AGI??
- Está previsto que What will be true about the person who creates AGI? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be true about the person who creates AGI??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If there's a generally accepted person it will resolve according to the characteristics of that person.