Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualContains egregious, easily verified falsehoods 99%Líder entre 32 opciones
Pronosticadores
90
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado1 oct 25, 18:07 UTC1 ene 30, 18:30 UTC
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After years of criticizing Wikipedia for what he perceives as left-wing bias, Elon Musk announced the development of "Grokipedia", which he believes will be a "massive improvement" over the existing site.
- How do you think this will turn out? Add your own predictions!
- Note: "release" means when the full-version is out, not beta or early-access.
- The V0.1 which released on October 27 does not count.
- A future release labelled "V1.0" would count.
Mercados abiertos
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- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
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+3 resultados más
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- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
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- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Contains egregious, easily verified falsehoods al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release??
- Está previsto que What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be true about Grokipedia upon *full* release??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: After years of criticizing Wikipedia for what he perceives as left-wing bias, Elon Musk announced the development of "Grokipedia", which he believes will be a "massive improvement" over the existing site.