Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualAcquired by Paramount 90.3%+54.6ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+54.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
17 dic 25, 13:40 UTC30 jun 27, 13:27 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
2027 Q2 means the end of the second quarter of 2027, aka approx 18 months from today.
- the named outcome means there is a purchase agreement in place but it is currently waiting for FCC or anti-trust lawsuits to go through.
- I asked ChatGPT what is the theoretical timeline once shareholders are onboard and he gives me:
- Optimistic (everything goes smoothly):
- ~9–12 months
- Base case (Second Request + remedies):
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 125,4 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,9 M €
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 156,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 26,1 mil €
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 resultados más
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Acquired by Paramount al 90% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2??
- Está previsto que What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2? se resuelva el 30 de junio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: 2027 Q2 means the end of the second quarter of 2027, aka approx 18 months from today.