Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo genocide, but non-incitement breaches of the convention 28.5%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado22 ago 25, 13:55 UTC1 ene 40, 14:52 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves when the ICJ issues its final merits Judgment in Case 192, “Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v.
- Israel).” Source for resolution: the ICJ case page (Judgment document once posted). https://www.icj-cij.org/case/192 (icj-cij.org)
- Exactly one option resolves Yes, using this precedence:
- Genocide — If the Court finds Israel internationally responsible for committing genocide under Article II (by its organs/agents or conduct attributable to the state), this option resolves Yes; all others No. Resolution is based solely on the final Judgment’s dispositive paragraphs. https://www.icj-cij.org/case/192 (icj-cij.org)
- the named outcome — If the Court finds any breach other than Article III(c) (e.g., failure to prevent or punish genocide under Article I, complicity Art.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No genocide, but non-incitement breaches of the convention al 29% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case?
- Está previsto que What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria