¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??

Manifold Markets cotiza Discovery of novel concept in mathematics al 73% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??

Está previsto que What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

12.7 pts (24h)One-OffIA3a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

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Discovery of novel concept in mathematics 72.9%-12.7pt

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multiple choice

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Play-money forecasting platform

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-12.7 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 horas

Desactualizado

29 ene 25, 16:28 UTC1 ene 30, 22:59 UTC

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Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

These answers must describe emergent behavior in AI/LLMs made public knowledge after January 1st 2025, which become topics of significant interest and debate (similar to the discussion over "move 37").
Inspired by this tweet from Karpathy:
[image]https://x.com/karpathy/status/1884336943321997800

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What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

12.7 pts (24h)One-OffIA3a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Discovery of novel concept in mathematics 72.9%-12.7pt

Líder entre 5 opciones

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Cambio 7d

-12.7 pts

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 3 horas

Desactualizado

29 ene 25, 16:28 UTC1 ene 30, 22:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Mercados Relacionados

Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Kalshi

Anthropic IPO by which date?

Polymarket

Next Claude Opus released by which date?

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Polymarket

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Manifold Markets

Reglas

Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

These answers must describe emergent behavior in AI/LLMs made public knowledge after January 1st 2025, which become topics of significant interest and debate (similar to the discussion over "move 37").
Inspired by this tweet from Karpathy:
[image]https://x.com/karpathy/status/1884336943321997800

Reportar un problema de datos de este mercado

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??: Manifold Markets cotiza Discovery of novel concept in mathematics al 73% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??: Está previsto que What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
¿Cómo se liquida What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??: Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

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