What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000?
One-OffCienciaSociety & Culture
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Born in 2030 21.9%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
24
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 39 minutos
2 ene 24, 16:47 UTC1 ene 00, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Each answer resolves to PROB, where PROB is the proportion of people that were born in the specified year that are still alive on 1 Jan 3000.
- They don't have to be basic unmodified humans, but there should be a wide agreement that yeah, that person is still alive in some form.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Born in 2030 al 22% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000??
- Está previsto que What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 3000.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What proportion of people born in the year X will still be alive in the year 3000??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Each answer resolves to PROB, where PROB is the proportion of people that were born in the specified year that are still alive on 1 Jan 3000.