What is dark matter?
Ciencia
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Primordial black holes 20.6%Líder entre 9 opciones
Primordial black holes 20.6%Pronosticadores
55
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
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Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado1 sept 23, 3:10 UTC1 ene 51, 5:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves to whatever makes up dark matter, once it is agreed upon by physicists.
- If dark matter is made up of more than one of these options, resolves to the percentage of the mass of dark matter that is made of each option.
- If some of the effects currently attributed to dark matter are actually new physics like MOND, I will resolve to the appropriate options based on what percentage of the dark matter currently believed to exist can be explained away by the new physics.
- The same will be the case if some of the effects attributed to DM can be explained away without recourse to any new physics or matter at all, but are just a result of flaws in our current theoretical models (e.g., calculations of galactic rotation curves leave out effects that are present in general relativity that turn out to be significant; corrected results agree with observation).