¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Tomonori Totoni's claim of dark matter detection be broadly accepted before 2030??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 78.4% a fecha de 27 de octubre de 2026.

Operar en simulación

Will Tomonori Totoni's claim of dark matter detection be broadly accepted before 2030?

One-OffCiencia Espacio3a

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 78.4%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 2 horas

Desactualizado

27 nov 25, 7:28 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Mercados Relacionados

Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.

Are dark matter and dark energy other universes?

Manifold Markets

What is dark matter?

Manifold Markets

Will the nature of dark matter be known by 2030?

Manifold Markets

Will Dark Matter still be real at the end of 2028?

Manifold Markets

Majority of scientists believe there's life on K2-18 b before 2027?

Manifold Markets

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Kalshi

Reglas

Tomonori Totoni published "20 GeV halo-like excess of the Galactic diffuse emission and implications for dark matter annihilation" in JCAP in November 2025: https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.07209

https://www.theguardian.com/science/2025/nov/25/study-claims-to-provide-first-direct-evidence-of-dark-matter
At the end of 2029, will this observation be broadly understood by the scientific community to very likely represent direct evidence of dark matter?
I will not bet in this market due to the subjectivity of the resolution criteria.

Reportar un problema de datos de este mercado

Will Tomonori Totoni's claim of dark matter detection be broadly accepted before 2030?

Will Tomonori Totoni's claim of dark matter detection be broadly accepted before 2030?

Mercados abiertos

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 26, 2026?

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

Preguntas frecuentes

Usa este mercado en código o en un agente de IA

Mercados abiertos

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 26, 2026?

Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?