Venezuelan leader dies in us prison by 2030?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolíticaLatin AmericaCrime & Justice3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 76.2%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado5 abr 26, 1:39 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro dies while in the custody of the United States government (e.g., in a federal detention center, prison, or during transport) on or before April 5, 2027.
- The market will resolve to "No" if he is still alive upon his release from U.S. custody or if he remains alive in custody after that date.
- Resolution will be based on consensus reporting from major international and U.S. news outlets (e.g., The Associated Press, Reuters, BBC, The New York Times).
- Official statements from the U.S. Bureau of Prisons or the U.S. Department of Justice will be considered primary evidence.
- Nicolás Maduro, the former president of Venezuela, is currently being held at the Metropolitan Detention Center (MDC) in Brooklyn, New York.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Venezuelan leader dies in us prison by 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 76% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Venezuelan leader dies in us prison by 2030??
- Está previsto que Venezuelan leader dies in us prison by 2030? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Venezuelan leader dies in us prison by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria