KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 10:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Shell · —
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Precio guardado
Shell 66.5%Líder entre 3 opciones
Shell 66.5%Calidad del mercado
25 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
10,1 €
Interés abierto
1,8 mil US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
ShellSpread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado3 sept 26, 23:30 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Shell
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
If Shell signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency. News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency, that A) explicitly states the event claim occurred, is true, or has been verified, B) is based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) is presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation. A named company satisfies this criterion if it or a controlled affiliate signs a binding agreement that directly grants the named company or controlled affiliate an enforceable upstream ownership, working, concession, production-sharing, or comparable economic participation right to explore for, develop, or produce crude oil at a Venezuelan upstream asset. Associated obligations are permitted, but performance obligations alone do not qualify. The counterparty may be Venezuela, PDVSA, a PDVSA affiliate, or another party legally authorized to grant those rights. A company statement or announcement without a signed binding agreement, a preliminary or nonbinding memorandum, negotiations, an expression of interest, due diligence, data-room access, a technical visit, a government license or sanctions authorization alone, financing, service-provider work, oil trading, refining, transport, or gas-only activity does NOT qualify.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Shell
- If Shell signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ExxonMobil
- If ExxonMobil signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ConocoPhillips
- If ConocoPhillips signs, itself or through a controlled affiliate, a binding agreement after Issuance granting it an enforceable upstream crude-oil economic participation right in Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.