Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 82%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado16 abr 25, 19:11 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before December 31, 2028, at least one U.S. citizen is confirmed to have been detained in El Salvador's Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT).
- The person must have been a citizen at the time that they were detained; if they lost their citizenship then it does not count.
- The confirmation must come from credible news sources or official government statements.
- If no such detention is confirmed by the end of 2028, the market will resolve to "No."
- The Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT) is a maximum-security prison in Tecoluca, El Salvador, inaugurated in January 2023.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 82% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028??
- Está previsto que US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria: