If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029?
One-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 67.7%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado15 abr 25, 4:10 UTC15 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves N/A if no U.S. citizens are deported before 2029 (however, see below).
- Resolves YES if any U.S. citizen is deported before 2029, and they return to the U.S. in any capacity before 2029.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
- I will apply the same caveats (e.g. involving denaturalization) as https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/will-the-us-deport-an-american-citi ; this market will resolve N/A if and only if that market resolves NO.
- To clarify — if more than one U.S. citizen is deported from the U.S. before 2029, this will resolve YES if at least one of them is returned before 2029, and no otherwise.
- I may trade in this market.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029??
- Está previsto que If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029? se resuelva el 15 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves N/A if no U.S. citizens are deported before 2029 (however, see below).