If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029?
One-OffPolítica de EE. UU.2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 19:26 UTC · política pm-quality-4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado15 abr 25, 4:10 UTC15 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves N/A if no U.S. citizens are deported before 2029 (however, see below).
- Resolves YES if any U.S. citizen is deported before 2029, and they return to the U.S. in any capacity before 2029.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
- I will apply the same caveats (e.g. involving denaturalization) as https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/will-the-us-deport-an-american-citi ; this market will resolve N/A if and only if that market resolves NO.
- To clarify — if more than one U.S. citizen is deported from the U.S. before 2029, this will resolve YES if at least one of them is returned before 2029, and no otherwise.
- I may trade in this market.