Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 52.2%
Pronosticadores
11
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado10 oct 25, 23:27 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) goes above 4.00% at any point before January 1, 2028.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source will be the daily data for series DFII30 available on the FRED website: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII30.
