Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 88.4%
Pronosticadores
253
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado2 jun 25, 23:07 UTC20 ene 29, 23:44 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?
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PolymarketReglas
This will resolve on inauguration day, January 20, 2029 at 12:00 PM EST.
- If U.S. President Donald J. Trump is dead by that time, then the answer to this question is yes.
- This includes the possibility that he dies while J.D. Vance is the acting president if Trump is removed from office during his 2nd term.
- If Donald J. Trump is not dead by that time, then the answer to this question is no.
- This is regarding Trump's 2nd term as 47th president only and is regardless of any attempt that Trump makes to extend his term or run for a 3rd term.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 resultados más
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- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 24,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 294,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 291,3 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Trump dies in office during his 2nd term??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Trump dies in office during his 2nd term??
- Está previsto que Trump dies in office during his 2nd term? se resuelva el 20 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Trump dies in office during his 2nd term??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This will resolve on inauguration day, January 20, 2029 at 12:00 PM EST.