Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 50.2%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado18 may 25, 22:03 UTC20 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Donald Trump dies in office, who will President Vance choose as his Vice President?
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PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketReglas
Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Donald Trump dies during office (i.e., before leaving office), this market will resolve to N/A.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 693 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 266,9 mil €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 248,7 mil €
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Trump dies within 4 years after leaving office?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 50% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Trump dies within 4 years after leaving office?
- Está previsto que Trump dies within 4 years after leaving office se resuelva el 20 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Trump dies within 4 years after leaving office?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Donald Trump dies during office (i.e., before leaving office), this market will resolve to N/A.