Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Nothing (4.1%)
Resuelto: 27 jul 2026, 21:57
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualTrump dies 89.7%-17.2ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 24 días
Desactualizado27 jul 26, 0:2027 jul 26, 21:57
Tendencias
89.7%
4.1%
3.4%
2.8%
Reglas
Resolution criteria
- This is a dependent multiple-choice market.
- Only one option will resolve to YES, and the remaining options will resolve to NO.
- The market will resolve based on whether any of the following events occur after market creation and before July 28, 2026, at 12:00 AM UTC:
- the named outcome: Resolves to YES if there is consensus global news coverage (e.g., AP, Reuters, BBC) confirming the literal, theological Second Coming of Jesus Christ.
- Trump will fart in public: Resolves to YES if there is verifiable, widely reported audio, video, or reputable media confirmation of Donald Trump flatulating in a public setting or during a live broadcast.
