This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030
One-OffTecnologíaBusiness & Corporate3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 98.9%
Pronosticadores
157
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado8 abr 22, 16:06 UTC2 ene 30, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2030.
- This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is.
- Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, you can bet the first M$20 for free.
Mercados abiertos
Tech
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- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
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- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030?
- Está previsto que This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030 se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2030.