Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 99%
Pronosticadores
33
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado1 oct 22, 6:06 UTC2 ene 28, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2027
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Manifold MarketsUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
PolymarketBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketThis question will resolve NO on January 1, 2050 (risk free interest rate question)
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2028.
- This question is meant to find out whether Manifold users are incentivized to correctly predict on longer-term markets, and, to some extent, what the implied discount rate is.
- Note that with Manifold's lending functionality, the half-life of the cost to invest here is about a month
Mercados abiertos
SoccerPOLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 24,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,7 M €
KALSHIArizona vs Kansas City
- Arizona+3.0pt51.9%
- Kansas City+1.0pt48.1%
- Volumen total
- 867,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 836,5 mil €
KALSHIIndepend. Santa Fe vs Vasco da Gama
- Tie+69.0pt98%
- Independ. Santa Fe-43.0pt1%
- Vasco da Gama-25.0pt1%
- Volumen total
KALSHIFluminense vs Platense
- Fluminense+37.0pt98%
- Platense-11.0pt1%
- Tie-23.0pt1%
- Volumen total
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volumen total
- 514,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 496,9 mil €
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.9pt61.8%
- Lamine Yamal-0.3pt13.7%
- Kylian Mbappé+1.9pt11.8%
+28 resultados más
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals
- Fluminense vs Platense: Total Goals
- Independ. Santa Fe vs Vasco da Gama: Total Goals
- Arizona vs Kansas City: Home Runs
- Barcelona vs Feyenoord
- Napoli vs Arsenal
- Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK
- Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
- FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Champions League Winner
- Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo
- PSG vs Slovan Bratislava
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028?
- Está previsto que This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028 se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2028?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves positively on the 1st of January, 2028.