There will be credible evidence that an AI agent is running independently on the web in any of the following years
IA4a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Other 32.9%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 horas
Desactualizado16 sept 24, 14:09 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketReglas
Paying its own server costs.
- Running its own code.
- This market cannot resolve no for specific years (this is how the manifold functionality works) either it resolves yes to one year or no to all at the close date (I guess that would be other)
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volumen total
- 241,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 128 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 349,4 mil €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de There will be credible evidence that an AI agent is running independently on the web in any of the following years?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Other al 33% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve There will be credible evidence that an AI agent is running independently on the web in any of the following years?
- Está previsto que There will be credible evidence that an AI agent is running independently on the web in any of the following years se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida There will be credible evidence that an AI agent is running independently on the web in any of the following years?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Paying its own server costs.