Tangible evidence of senior Trump officials trading on insider tariff info before 2030?
Política comercialOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Regulación3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 85.5%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 31 minutos
9 abr 25, 21:57 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if credible, tangible evidence emerges before January 1, 2030, showing that senior officials in the Trump administration traded securities based on non-public information about tariff policies.
- Evidence must come from reliable sources such as court documents, regulatory findings, credible investigative journalism, or official government investigations.
- The evidence must specifically demonstrate:
- The individual was a senior Trump administration official (or Trump)
- They traded securities (bought or sold)