Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualGoogle 100%Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
59
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado27 feb 26, 21:23 UTC31 dic 26, 21:19 UTC
Tendencias
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Insider Trading Result in Any Verified Harm Before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketWill a law restricting sports trades on prediction markets be enacted in 2026?
PredictItWill Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
Manifold MarketsSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketReglas
A member of the listed organization must be penalized.
- The action must be a substantial action, including a fine, ban from a prediction market, termination, demotion, etc. A warning is not sufficient.
- If any other regulator such as the SEC or CFTC takes significant action, also resolves YES.
- If an exchange takes action, also resolves YES.
- If a law enforcement branch makes an legitimate indictment or arrest, resolves YES.
- The enforcement action must take place from market open to EOY 2026.
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 12,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 90,5 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-2.0pt51%
- Before Oct 1, 202749%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-6.0pt41%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 4,8 M €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 202754%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 877 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T+0.5pt18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt17.9%
+5 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
- Before Apr 1, 202792%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,5 mil €
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
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- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will be caught insider trading in prediction markets??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Google al 100% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will be caught insider trading in prediction markets??
- Está previsto que Who will be caught insider trading in prediction markets? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will be caught insider trading in prediction markets??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: A member of the listed organization must be penalized.