Will there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?
One-OffCripto2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 3:24 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 77.4%
Pronosticadores
29
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado4 ene 23, 16:16 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Trading - not market creation.
- Does not include people who were already thought leaders before having a trading record.
- Thought leaders could roughly be approximated as having regular influence over thoughts of 5k+ individuals.
- I'm ok with approximating this by followers on a social media platform.
- I might not be proactively looking for these individuals - examples will need to be raised in the comments.
