Should I expect Democrats to win back the house in 2026 midterm election?
42.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 202628d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualYes, Democrats will win back the House 92%+42.0pt
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+42.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado31 oct 26, 18:06 UTC30 nov 26, 11:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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PredictItReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the official outcome of the 2026 United States House of Representatives elections.
- Each answer option will resolve independently as follows:
- "the named outcome": Resolves YES if the Democratic Party wins at least 218 seats (or a majority of the seats contested) in the 2026 U.S. House elections, thereby taking majority control of the chamber for the 120th Congress.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- "the named outcome": Resolves YES if the Republican Party retains at least 218 seats (or a working majority) following the 2026 midterm elections.
