Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual(5%, 10%], Scott win 27.7%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+16.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado15 sept 26, 19:02 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Wiener win the California 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
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KalshiReglas
Based on official SF gov results.
- Raw substraction of the percentage each of them receive.
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change+1.0pt49%
- 25 bps increase49%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 8,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 939,3 mil €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt59.4%
- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt9.9%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-8.0pt55%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt45%
- Volumen total
- 29 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 547 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.6pt91%
- Republican Party+0.3pt9%
- Volumen total
- 30,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 473,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 59,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,6 mil €
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Trump out as President by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza (5%, 10%], Scott win al 27.7% a fecha de 22 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026?
- Está previsto que San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026 se resuelva el 30 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Based on official SF gov results.