Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No change (78.5%)
Resuelto: 15 ago 2026, 14:58
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo change 78.5%+0.5ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 días
Desactualizado16 may 26, 5:484 ago 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Increase18%
No change78.5%
Decrease3.6%
78.5%
18%
3.6%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the outcome of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) Board meeting scheduled for August 2026, based on the official announcement released by the RBA.
- Increase: Resolves YES if the RBA announces an increase to the official cash rate.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if the RBA announces the cash rate will remain at its current level.
- Decrease: Resolves YES if the RBA announces a reduction to the official cash rate.
- The market will resolve based on the information provided in the RBA's official "Statement by Monetary Policy Decision" issued on the day of the August 2026 meeting, available at https://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/rba-board-minutes/.
