Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualJ.D. Vance 43.4%-1.0ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado18 may 26, 11:08 UTC31 jul 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWho will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican presidential candidate endorsed by Trump win the 2028 Republican primaries?
Manifold Markets2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Republican Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The winner will be determined by the official results of the 2028 Republican National Convention.
- The market will resolve to the candidate who receives the majority of delegate votes required for the nomination.
- If a candidate other than those listed becomes the nominee, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
- If the 2028 Republican National Convention is cancelled or if the party fails to nominate a candidate, the market will resolve N/A.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 44%
- También disponible en Manifold Markets — Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028? · JD Vance 44%
- También disponible en PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 39%
- También disponible en Polymarket — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 44%
- También disponible en Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee
